Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primavera EC vs Novorizontino

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi, Indaiatuba
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gabriel Poveda
Assist: Welliton
20' Event
Renatinho
Assist: Paulo Baya
34' Event
Romulo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino in this Paulista matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Primavera EC
30%
Draws
37%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novorizontino lately — more wins on the board than Primavera EC.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Primavera EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera EC Novorizontino
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Paulista
Primavera EC vs Novorizontino
3:4
Feb 11, 2023 Paulista A2
Primavera EC vs Novorizontino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Poveda
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renatinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Robson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maykon Jesus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera EC 95 / 100
Novorizontino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera EC Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Primavera EC scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Novorizontino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Primavera EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primavera EC VS Novorizontino
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera EC

(Home)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

Novorizontino

(Away)
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
2 Palmeiras 8 5 1 2 8:7 16
3 Bragantino 8 4 4 0 14:2 16
4 Portuguesa 8 5 0 3 11:7 15
5 Corinthians 8 4 2 2 10:6 14
6 Sao Paulo 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
7 Capivariano 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
8 Santos 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
9 Guarani 8 3 3 2 6:7 12
10 Botafogo SP 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
11 Mirassol 8 2 2 4 10:8 8
12 Primavera EC 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
13 Sao Bernardo 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Noroeste 8 1 5 2 11:11 8
15 Velo Clube 8 1 2 5 2:13 5
16 Ponte Preta 8 0 1 7 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)