Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primavera EC vs Sao Caetano

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi, Indaiatuba
Primavera EC Logo

Primavera EC

7 - 0
FT
Sao Caetano Logo

Sao Caetano

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kauan Cunha
19' Event
Kauan Cunha
40' Event
Kauan Cunha
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. The second leg ended 7-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Primavera EC
20%
Draws
10%
Sao Caetano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Sao Caetano haven't matched Primavera EC's recent run of results.
  • Primavera EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Primavera EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Caetano, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Primavera EC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primavera EC Sao Caetano
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Sao Caetano
7:0
Aug 29, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Primavera EC
0:5
Jan 14, 2023 Paulista A2
Sao Caetano vs Primavera EC
0:1
Feb 2, 2022 Paulista A2
Primavera EC vs Sao Caetano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Cunha
4 Goals
Assists Leader Daltro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sao Caetano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primavera EC 85 / 100
Sao Caetano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primavera EC Sao Caetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Primavera EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Primavera EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Sao Caetano has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Primavera EC VS Sao Caetano
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primavera EC

(Home)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
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Sao Caetano

(Away)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Quarter-finals
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Juventus-SP 0
Uniao Sao Joao 1
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Linense 2
Gremio Prudente 2
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -