Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primeiro de Agosto vs Guelson

Angola Angola

Girabola Estádio da Cidadela, Luanda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Girabola game between Primeiro de Agosto and Guelson finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Primeiro de Agosto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Primeiro de Agosto
6%
Draws
4%
Guelson
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Primeiro de Agosto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primeiro de Agosto come out ahead of Guelson on wins alone.
  • Primeiro de Agosto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Girabola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Primeiro de Agosto Clean Sheet 68%
Guelson Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Agosto Guelson
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 12 3
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Girabola
Primeiro de Agosto vs Guelson
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Girabola
Guelson vs Primeiro de Agosto
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Agosto 95 / 100
Guelson 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Agosto Guelson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primeiro de Agosto found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Guelson let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Primeiro de Agosto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Agosto VS Guelson
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Agosto

(Home)
24 May
Primeiro de Agosto
1 : 1
Redonda
20 May
Luanda City
0 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
16 May
Primeiro de Agosto
0 : 1
Kabuscorp
09 May
Interclube
0 : 0
Primeiro de Agosto
06 May
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 0
C.R.D. Libolo
Page 1 of 6

Guelson

(Away)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petro Atletico30226263:1572
2Wiliete30188449:2962
3Primeiro de Agosto301512347:2257
4Desportivo Huila301210835:2646
5Kabuscorp301012826:2242
6Bravos do Maquis301261233:3042
7Interclube30913835:2840
8CD Lunda Sul3010101027:2840
9Primeiro de Maio301071329:3337
10Sagrada308111133:4035
11Sao Salvador30981327:3335
12Academica308111125:3035
13C.R.D. Libolo30971426:3734
14Luanda City30961521:4533
15Redonda30561915:4721
16Guelson30632124:5021
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)