Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primeiro de Agosto vs KMKM

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2019/2020 Estádio da Cidadela, Luanda
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Mabululu
68' Event
Mabululu
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Primeiro de Agosto in this CAF Champions League 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Primeiro de Agosto
15%
Draws
16%
KMKM
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primeiro de Agosto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Primeiro de Agosto have won more games recently than KMKM.
  • Primeiro de Agosto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Primeiro de Agosto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Primeiro de Agosto, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Primeiro de Agosto Clean Sheet 68%
KMKM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Agosto KMKM
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 10 3
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 1.72 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2019 CAF Champions League
Primeiro de Agosto vs KMKM
2:0
Aug 10, 2019 CAF Champions League
KMKM vs Primeiro de Agosto
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primeiro de Agosto Compare

Top Goalscorer Mabululu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

KMKM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Agosto 95 / 100
KMKM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Agosto KMKM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Agosto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primeiro de Agosto's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: KMKM conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Primeiro de Agosto stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Agosto VS KMKM
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Agosto

(Home)
19 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
3 : 2
FC Luanda
11 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 0
Green Mamba
09 Sept
Cabinda
1 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
05 Sept
Green Mamba
0 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
01 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 1
Interclube
Page 1 of 7

KMKM

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tempete MOCAF 2
Al Nasr 3
Brikama United 3
Raja Casablanca 7
Kabylie 3
Al-Merreikh 3
Stade Malien 1
Horoya 2
Buffles du Borgou 1
ASC Kara 2
UMS de Loum 0
AS Vita Club 1
Rahimo 1
Enyimba International 5
Rayon Sport 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman 1
AS SONIDEP 2
USM Alger 5
Aigle Noir 1
Mahia 5
Cano Sport 3
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 2
Atlabara FC 0
Al Ahly 13
LPRC Oiler 1
Generation Foot 3
Dekedda 0
Zamalek 13
Kano Pillars 3
Asante Kotoko 4
Hafia 3
Etoile Sahel 8
Matlama 0
Petro Atletico 4
African Stars 3
Kampala City 4
Fomboni 3
Cote d'Or 3
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 5
SO Armee 0
Nouadhibou 1
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
Cercle Mberi Sportif 0
Elect Sport 2
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Young Africans 2
Township Rollers 1
Green Mamba 0
Zesco 3
Big Bullets 2
Platinum 3
UD Songo 1
Simba 1
Green Eagles 2
Orlando Pirates 1
KMKM 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Fosa Juniors 2
Pamplemousses 1
TBD -
Mazembe -
Final
Al Nasr 2
Raja Casablanca 4
Kabylie 3
Horoya 2
ASC Kara 0
AS Vita Club 1
Enyimba International 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 1
USM Alger 6
Mahia 1
Cano Sport 0
Al Ahly 6
Generation Foot 2
Zamalek 2
Asante Kotoko 2
Etoile Sahel 3
Petro Atletico 1
Kampala City 1
Cote d'Or 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 16
Nouadhibou 1
Wydad Athletic 6
Elect Sport 2
Esperance Tunis 3
Young Africans 2
Zesco 3
Platinum 5
UD Songo 2
Green Eagles 2
Primeiro de Agosto 2
Fosa Juniors 1
Mazembe 3