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Primeiro de Agosto vs Santa Rita Prediction & H2H Stats

Angola Angola

Girabola 2024/2025 Estádio da Cidadela, Luanda
Our Tip

Match Events

74'
Leite B.
88' Event
Ary

AI Match Summary

Primeiro de Agosto in this Girabola 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primeiro de Agosto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Primeiro de Agosto
15%
Draws
41%
Santa Rita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primeiro de Agosto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primeiro de Agosto lately — more wins on the board than Santa Rita.
  • Model gives Primeiro de Agosto a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Girabola 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Primeiro de Agosto Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Agosto Santa Rita
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.68 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Girabola
Primeiro de Agosto vs Santa Rita
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Girabola
Santa Rita vs Primeiro de Agosto
0:1
May 19, 2024 Girabola
Santa Rita vs Primeiro de Agosto
1:0
Feb 11, 2024 Girabola
Primeiro de Agosto vs Santa Rita
4:1
Feb 11, 2023 Girabola
Santa Rita vs Primeiro de Agosto
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primeiro de Agosto Compare

Top Goalscorer Ary
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Santa Rita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Agosto 68 / 100
Santa Rita 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Agosto Santa Rita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Agosto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Primeiro de Agosto scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Primeiro de Agosto went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Rita conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Agosto VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Agosto

(Home)
19 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
3 : 2
FC Luanda
11 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 0
Green Mamba
09 Sept
Cabinda
1 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
05 Sept
Green Mamba
0 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
01 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 1
Interclube
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Santa Rita

(Away)
25 May
Santa Rita
1 : 0
Academica
17 May
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 2
Santa Rita
12 May
Santa Rita
0 : 1
Interclube
03 May
C.R.D. Libolo
0 : 1
Santa Rita
27 Apr
Santa Rita
1 : 0
Luanda City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 20 8 2 46:13 68
2 Wiliete 30 18 6 6 49:23 60
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 14 13 3 35:19 55
4 Sagrada 30 13 10 7 28:23 49
5 Bravos do Maquis 30 11 15 4 35:21 48
6 Sao Salvador 30 14 6 10 38:25 48
7 Interclube 30 10 12 8 34:20 42
8 Desportivo Huila 30 12 6 12 27:24 42
9 Kabuscorp 30 9 12 9 26:26 39
10 CD Lunda Sul 30 8 11 11 21:28 35
11 Academica 30 7 11 12 22:36 32
12 C.R.D. Libolo 30 6 12 12 26:33 30
13 Luanda City 30 7 7 16 25:44 28
14 Santa Rita 30 6 8 16 13:32 26
15 Isaac de Benguela 30 5 8 17 27:47 23
16 Carmona 30 3 9 18 11:49 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)