Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primeiro de Agosto vs Virunga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Estádio da Cidadela, Luanda
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Primeiro de Agosto at 1.64 goals for, 0.75 against; Virunga at 0.96 for, 1.19 against. Past meetings favor Primeiro de Agosto slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 0.44) point toward Primeiro de Agosto. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Primeiro de Agosto
20%
Draws
28%
Virunga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primeiro de Agosto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primeiro de Agosto come out ahead of Virunga on wins alone.
  • Primeiro de Agosto are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Primeiro de Agosto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Primeiro de Agosto Clean Sheet 20%
Virunga Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Agosto Virunga
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.64 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Virunga vs Primeiro de Agosto
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Agosto 76 / 100
Virunga 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Agosto Virunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Agosto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Primeiro de Agosto scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Primeiro de Agosto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Virunga has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Agosto VS Virunga
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Agosto

(Home)
18 Oct
Virunga
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
11 Oct
Academica
1 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
19 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
3 : 2
FC Luanda
11 Sept
Primeiro de Agosto
2 : 0
Green Mamba
09 Sept
Cabinda
1 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
Page 1 of 6

Virunga

(Away)
18 Oct
Virunga
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara 1
Al Ahly 2
ZED FC 1
Azam 1
Welwalo Adigrat 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 4
Tusker 0
Singida Black Stars 1
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo 0
FAR Rabat 0
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Raja Casablanca 2
Academie de FAD 1
CS Sfaxien 1
Zarzis 1
Real Bamako 3
Diarra 3
ASKO Kara 2
Kabuscorp 1
AS Maniema 4
Red Arrows 1
Kaizer Chiefs 0
Durban City 3
Port Louis 1
Rayon Sport 0
Associacao Black Bulls 2
Virunga 1
Primeiro de Agosto 2