Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primorac Biograd vs Hrvace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hrvace in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hrvace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Primorac Biograd
20%
Draws
40%
Hrvace
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hrvace have won more games recently than Primorac Biograd.
  • Primorac Biograd are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 18%
Hrvace Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorac Biograd Hrvace
Matches Played 31 50
Wins 13 22
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.68 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Hrvace
3:4
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvace vs Primorac Biograd
2:2
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvace vs Primorac Biograd
1:5
Mar 14, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Hrvace
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorac Biograd 58 / 100
Hrvace 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorac Biograd Hrvace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primorac Biograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Primorac Biograd scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Hrvace conceded in 72% of 50 recent games.

Away concern: Hrvace has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hrvace
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primorac Biograd

(Home)
30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4
Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
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Hrvace

(Away)
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Opatija
1 : 0
Hrvace
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)