Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Primorac Biograd vs Varazdin

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023
Wed, Oct 19, 2022
1 - 4
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Torbarina D.
86' Event
Domjanic N.
103' Event
Posavec I.

AI Match Summary

Varazdin in this Croatian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Primorac Biograd
35%
Draws
45%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Varazdin have won more games recently than Primorac Biograd.
  • Win probability leans Varazdin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Varazdin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varazdin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 18%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorac Biograd Varazdin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.65 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2022 Croatian Cup
Primorac Biograd vs Varazdin
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primorac Biograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Torbarina D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Varazdin Compare

Top Goalscorer Posavec I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Domjanic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorac Biograd 28 / 100
Varazdin 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorac Biograd Varazdin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Primorac Biograd found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Varazdin has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Primorac Biograd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varazdin
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Primorac Biograd

(Home)
30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4
Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
Page 1 of 7

Varazdin

(Away)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Belisce 3
BSK Buk 0
Bijelo Brdo 5
Marsonia 1
Moslavina 3
Medjimurje 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vuteks Sloga 1
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
Radnik Krizevci 1
Dubrava Zagreb 3
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bjelovar 1
Gaj Mace 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Bistra 2
Vodice 1
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
RNK Split -
TBD -
TBD -
Cibalia -
Slavonac Bukovlje 0
Borinci 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Nedelisce 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
TBD -
Zapresic -
Solin 6
Funtana 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sava Strmec 4
Bednja Beletinec 6
TBD -
Rudes -
Neretva 0
Grobnican 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Nehaj Senj 0
Primorac Biograd 4
TBD -
Varazdin -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Karlovac 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Virovitica 0
Mladost Zdralovi 6
TBD -
Oriolik -
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 4
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
1/16-finals
Belisce 1
Bijelo Brdo 5
Moslavina 1
Rijeka 2
Jadran Porec 1
Sibenik 2
Dubrava Zagreb 2
HNK Gorica 3
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Bistra 1
Lok. Zagreb 6
RNK Split 2
Cibalia 0
Borinci 0
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Nedelisce 3
Zapresic 0
Solin 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rudes 3
Grobnican 1
Istra 1961 2
Primorac Biograd 1
Varazdin 4
Papuk Orahovica 0
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 6
Oriolik 0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 1
Hajduk Split 5
1/8-finals
Bijelo Brdo 2
Rijeka 1
Sibenik 2
HNK Gorica 0
Bjelovar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
RNK Split 1
Din. Zagreb 3
NK Nedelisce 0
Slaven Belupo 6
Rudes 2
Istra 1961 1
Varazdin 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 2
Quarter-finals
Bijelo Brdo 0
Sibenik 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slaven Belupo 2
Rudes 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 2
Semi-finals
Sibenik 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Final
Sibenik 0
Hajduk Split 2