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Primorje vs Celje

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina, Ajdovščina
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Iosifov N.
Assist: Karnicnik Z.
23' Event
Pozeg R.
Assist: Kucys A.
25'
Iosifov N.

AI Match Summary

The Prva liga 2025/2026 game between Primorje and Celje finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Primorje
30%
Draws
47%
Celje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celje come out ahead of Primorje on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Celje taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celje have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Primorje Clean Sheet 20%
Celje Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primorje Celje
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 5 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.81 2.12
Goals Conceded 2 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Prva liga
Primorje vs Celje
0:4
Mar 22, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Primorje
5:1
Dec 7, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Primorje
4:1
Sep 21, 2025 Prva liga
Primorje vs Celje
2:3
May 4, 2025 Prva liga
Primorje vs Celje
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Primorje Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Iosifov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pozeg R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primorje 28 / 100
Celje 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primorje Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Celje has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Primorje stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Primorje's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Primorje VS Celje
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Primorje

(Home)
15 Aug
Primorje
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
08 Aug
Krsko Posavje
2 : 1
Primorje
22 Jul
Primorje
0 : 0
Uljanik Pula
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
27 May
Primorje
0 : 0
Nafta
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Celje

(Away)
15 Aug
Nafta
1 : 3
Celje
11 Aug
Celje
2 : 0
Ararat-Armenia
08 Aug
Celje
1 : 0
O. Ljubljana
04 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 1
Celje
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)