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Princesa do Solimoes vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Princesa do Solimoes play Nacional-AM (Manaus) in the Amazonense. Nacional-AM (Manaus) are favorites here. Recently, Princesa do Solimoes averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Nacional-AM (Manaus) averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Princesa do Solimoes won 0, Nacional-AM (Manaus) won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Princesa do Solimoes and 1.00 for Nacional-AM (Manaus). This points to a Nacional-AM (Manaus) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Princesa do Solimoes
25%
Draws
60%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Princesa do Solimoes picked up more points recently compared to Nacional-AM (Manaus).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Princesa do Solimoes Clean Sheet 23%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Princesa do Solimoes Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 34 39
Wins 12 23
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2:2
Feb 5, 2026 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:0
Jan 30, 2025 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Serie D
Princesa do Solimoes vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Princesa do Solimoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Max Wesley
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernane
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Princesa do Solimoes 18 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Princesa do Solimoes Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Princesa do Solimoes attacking → ← attacking Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Princesa do Solimoes scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) let in goals in 69% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Princesa do Solimoes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 77
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manauara32105:37
2Parintins31112:24
3Amazonas30300:03
4Itacoatiara30122:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manaus FC33006:19
2Nacional-AM (Manaus)31115:34
3Princesa do Solimoes31115:54
4Sao Raimundo AM30031:80