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Princesa do Solimoes vs Penarol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
dos Santos Baptista A.

AI Match Summary

Princesa do Solimoes in this Campeonato Amazonense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Princesa do Solimoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Princesa do Solimoes
15%
Draws
36%
Penarol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Princesa do Solimoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Princesa do Solimoes have won more games recently than Penarol.
  • Win probability leans Princesa do Solimoes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Princesa do Solimoes Clean Sheet 20%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Princesa do Solimoes Penarol
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Penarol
1:0
Apr 27, 2021 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Penarol
1:1
Apr 22, 2021 Amazonense
Penarol vs Princesa do Solimoes
1:2
Mar 14, 2021 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Penarol
1:1
Mar 7, 2021 Amazonense
Princesa do Solimoes vs Penarol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Princesa do Solimoes Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Baptista A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Penarol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Princesa do Solimoes 85 / 100
Penarol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Princesa do Solimoes Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Princesa do Solimoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Princesa do Solimoes found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Penarol lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Princesa do Solimoes VS Penarol
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Princesa do Solimoes

(Home)
04 Mar
Parintins
2 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
01 Mar
Princesa do Solimoes
2 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo AM
1 : 2
Princesa do Solimoes
11 Feb
Manaus FC
2 : 1
Princesa do Solimoes
05 Feb
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
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Penarol

(Away)
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2
Penarol
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Princesa do Solimoes 11 7 4 0 27:5 25
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 11 7 2 2 21:5 23
3 Manaus FC 11 6 4 1 27:9 22
4 Fast Clube 11 5 5 1 18:7 20
5 Amazonas 11 5 3 3 17:8 18
6 Manauara 11 5 3 3 15:11 18
7 Iranduba 11 4 5 2 15:9 17
8 Operario Esporte Clube 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
9 Sao Raimundo AM 11 3 1 7 23:16 10
10 Cliper 11 2 1 8 13:43 7
11 Penarol 11 1 2 8 5:27 5
12 Itacoatiara 11 0 2 9 4:44 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amazonense 2022 (Play Offs)