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Princesa do Solimoes W vs Manaus W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Princesa do Solimoes W play Manaus W in the Amazonense Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Princesa do Solimoes W averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Manaus W averaged 3.78 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Princesa do Solimoes W won 0, Manaus W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 12, 2024 ended 2:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Princesa do Solimoes W and 2.90 for Manaus W. This points to a Manaus W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Princesa do Solimoes W
15%
Draws
52%
Manaus W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manaus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Princesa do Solimoes W picked up more points recently compared to Manaus W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.90 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Princesa do Solimoes W Clean Sheet 10%
Manaus W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Princesa do Solimoes W Manaus W
Matches Played 5 18
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 1
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.8 3.78
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2024 Amazonense Women
Princesa do Solimoes W vs Manaus W
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Princesa do Solimoes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rios F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Manaus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Naireles
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Princesa do Solimoes W 32 / 100
Manaus W 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Princesa do Solimoes W Manaus W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manaus W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Princesa do Solimoes W attacking → ← attacking Manaus W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Princesa do Solimoes W scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Manaus W let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Princesa do Solimoes W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Manaus W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 4.13
1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manaus W330019:49
2Princesa do Solimoes W31117:74
3Recanto W30212:72
4Unidos do Alvorada W30123:131
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Taruma W330017:19
2Sao Paulo AM W32018:46
3Amazonas Legis W31023:93
4Presidente Figueiredo W30031:150