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Pro Palazzolo vs Caldiero Terme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Franceschinis G.
41' Event
Castelli M.
45' Event
Zerbato L.

AI Match Summary

Caldiero Terme in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caldiero Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pro Palazzolo
30%
Draws
37%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pro Palazzolo have won more games recently than Caldiero Terme.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 16%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Palazzolo Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Caldiero Terme
1:3
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Pro Palazzolo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Franceschinis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Castelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zerbato L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Palazzolo 36 / 100
Caldiero Terme 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Palazzolo Caldiero Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Palazzolo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Caldiero Terme conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pro Palazzolo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Palazzolo VS Caldiero Terme
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Palazzolo

(Home)
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
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Caldiero Terme

(Away)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)