Sport Picks
Pro Patria vs Cittadella
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio 
Match Events
41'
41'
Desogus J.
49'
49'
Udoh K.
63'
63'
Sub
Castelli D. In: Rabbi S.
Out: Castelli D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Patria and Cittadella finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Patria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cittadella come out ahead of Pro Patria on wins alone.
- Pro Patria are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 20%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Patria | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Cittadella
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pro Patria
0:0
Jan 23, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pro Patria
2:1
Oct 14, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Cittadella
1:3
Mar 9, 2008 Lega Pro C1/A
Pro Patria vs Cittadella
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Udoh K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Cittadella Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pro Patria 36 / 100
Cittadella 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pro Patria Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Pro Patria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Pro Patria scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Cittadella conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Pro Patria VS Cittadella
1.71 Goals Scored 1.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pro Patria
(Home) 16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1 Gozzano
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1 Gozzano
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3 Arzignano
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
