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Pro Patria vs Solbiatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Scapinello D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Pro Patria and Solbiatese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Solbiatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pro Patria
30%
Draws
23%
Solbiatese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Solbiatese haven't matched Pro Patria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pro Patria a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 20%
Solbiatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Patria Solbiatese
Matches Played 28 8
Wins 9 1
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.43 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Patria vs Solbiatese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Patria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Solbiatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Scapinello D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Patria 85 / 100
Solbiatese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Patria Solbiatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Patria's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Solbiatese conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pro Patria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pro Patria VS Solbiatese
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Patria

(Home)
07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5
Pro Patria
04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0
Pro Patria
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1
Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
Page 1 of 6

Solbiatese

(Away)
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1
Solbiatese
20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4
Castellanzese
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0
Solbiatese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)