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Pro Patria vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Stuckler D.
27'
Masi A.
29' Event
Cappelletti D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Patria and Vicenza finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vicenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pro Patria
6%
Draws
90%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vicenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vicenza come out ahead of Pro Patria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vicenza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vicenza have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 10%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Patria Vicenza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Vicenza
0:4
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Pro Patria
3:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Vicenza
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Pro Patria
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Vicenza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Patria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuckler D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cappelletti D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Patria 10 / 100
Vicenza 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Patria Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LRV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Patria's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vicenza conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pro Patria stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Patria VS Vicenza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Patria

(Home)
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4
Pro Patria
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6

Vicenza

(Away)
25 Jul
Genoa
2 : 2
Vicenza
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
02 May
Arezzo
2 : 5
Vicenza
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
Vicenza
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)