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Pro Sesto vs Castellana Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Pro Sesto and Castellana finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Pro Sesto
20%
Draws
19%
Castellana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Pro Sesto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Pro Sesto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 18%
Castellana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Sesto Castellana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.65 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Castellana
2:3
Dec 7, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Pro Sesto
1:3
Apr 27, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Castellana
0:2
Dec 18, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Pro Sesto
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 85 / 100
Castellana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Sesto Castellana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Sesto scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Castellana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Sesto

(Home)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
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Castellana

(Away)
10 May
Castellana
1 : 2
Villafranca
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0
Castellana
26 Apr
Castellana
1 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Castellana
12 Apr
Castellana
0 : 2
FC Castiglione
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)