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Pro Sesto vs Oltrepo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Maffioletti L.
24' Event
Costantino R.
30' Event
Morello M.

AI Match Summary

Pro Sesto in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Pro Sesto
15%
Draws
16%
Oltrepo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pro Sesto lately — more wins on the board than Oltrepo.
  • Win probability leans Pro Sesto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 20%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Sesto Oltrepo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Oltrepo
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Costantino R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morello M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Occhipinti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 85 / 100
Oltrepo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Sesto Oltrepo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pro Sesto scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Oltrepo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS Oltrepo
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Sesto

(Home)
04 Oct
Arconatese
1 : 1
Pro Sesto
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

Oltrepo

(Away)
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Pavia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)