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Vastese vs Nocerina

Italy Italy

Serie C2/C 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/C 2006/2007 game between Vastese and Nocerina finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Vastese
20%
Draws
36%
Nocerina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nocerina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vastese Clean Sheet 20%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastese Nocerina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2010 Lega Pro C2/B
Vastese vs Nocerina
3:1
Nov 29, 2009 Lega Pro C2/B
Nocerina vs Vastese
1:2
Feb 18, 2007 Serie C2/C
Vastese vs Nocerina
0:0
Oct 8, 2006 Serie C2/C
Nocerina vs Vastese
1:1
Jan 16, 2006 Serie C2/C
Nocerina vs Vastese
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastese 32 / 100
Nocerina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastese Nocerina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nocerina let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Vastese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vastese VS Nocerina
1 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastese

(Home)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

Nocerina

(Away)
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0
Nocerina
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1
Flaminia
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 17 13 4 48:26 64
2 Benevento 34 17 12 5 42:21 63
3 Potenza 34 16 6 12 37:32 54
4 Gela 34 16 6 12 29:31 54
5 Monopoli 34 14 11 9 42:35 53
6 Lamezia 34 14 10 10 35:24 52
7 Val Di Sangro 34 14 10 10 39:36 52
8 Fidelis Andria 34 12 13 9 30:31 49
9 Catanzaro 34 11 12 11 34:27 45
10 Progreditur Marcianise 34 12 8 14 48:47 44
11 Igea Virtus 34 8 17 9 35:35 41
12 Vibonese 34 10 11 13 42:45 41
13 Cassino 34 11 8 15 39:42 41
14 Celano 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Melfi 34 10 8 16 27:43 38
16 Nocerina 34 10 7 17 31:38 37
17 Vastese 34 8 7 19 23:42 31
18 Rende 34 7 9 18 35:54 30
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/B 2007/2008 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)