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Pro Vercelli vs Trento

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Fossati M.
41'
Aucelli C.
45'
Triacca D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Vercelli and Trento finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pro Vercelli
30%
Draws
47%
Trento
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pro Vercelli haven't matched Trento's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Trento a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Trento here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 25%
Trento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Vercelli Trento
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.54 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Pro Vercelli
4:0
Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Trento
1:3
Oct 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Trento
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Pro Vercelli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Comi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Trento Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrini J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Triacca D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Vercelli 13 / 100
Trento 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Vercelli Trento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pro Vercelli scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Trento let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Pro Vercelli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Vercelli VS Trento
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Vercelli

(Home)
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
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Trento

(Away)
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)