Sport Picks
Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernihiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 
Match Events
3'
3'
Plakhtyr D.
8'
8'
Sub
Serdyuk M. In: Galstyan E.
Out: Serdyuk M.
39'
39'
Petryk A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Chernihiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Chernihiv lately — more wins on the board than Probiy Horodenka.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Probiy Horodenka | FC Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernihiv
1:1
Dec 9, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Probiy Horodenka
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernihiv
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Probiy Horodenka Compare
Top Goalscorer Fesenko A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
FC Chernihiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Koydan V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Probiy Horodenka 30 / 100
FC Chernihiv 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Probiy Horodenka FC Chernihiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Probiy Horodenka scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: FC Chernihiv conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Away concern: FC Chernihiv has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Probiy Horodenka VS FC Chernihiv
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Probiy Horodenka
(Home) 04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3 Victoria
09 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 3
FC Chernihiv
(Away) 06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4 FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4 FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
