Sport Picks
Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 
Match Events
46'
46'
Yevtushenko O.
55'
55'
Lopyryonok M.
56'
56'
Sub
Ivanychuk V. In: Goncharuk D.
Out: Ivanychuk V.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga game between Probiy Horodenka and Inhulets finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inhulets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Inhulets carry the better recent record into this one.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Inhulets taking it.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 11%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Probiy Horodenka | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets
2:2
May 3, 2026 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets
0:1
Aug 21, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Probiy Horodenka Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncharuk D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fesenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Inhulets Compare
Top Goalscorer Yevtushenko O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Malysh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Probiy Horodenka 14 / 100
Inhulets 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Probiy Horodenka Inhulets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inhulets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Inhulets has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Probiy Horodenka's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Probiy Horodenka remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Probiy Horodenka VS Inhulets
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Probiy Horodenka
(Home) 04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3 Victoria
09 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 3
Inhulets
(Away) 03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
08 Aug
Oleksandriya
3 : 0 Inhulets
26 Jul
Probiy Horodenka
2 : 2 Inhulets
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
