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Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Probiy Horodenka host Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nyva Ternopil have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Probiy Horodenka have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Nyva Ternopil slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.88) point toward Nyva Ternopil. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Probiy Horodenka
35%
Draws
37%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nyva Ternopil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Probiy Horodenka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nyva Ternopil's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Probiy Horodenka Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Probiy Horodenka
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Probiy Horodenka 22 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Probiy Horodenka Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Probiy Horodenka's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Nyva Ternopil let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Probiy Horodenka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Probiy Horodenka VS Nyva Ternopil
1 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Probiy Horodenka

(Home)
18 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
18 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
3 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
4 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
5 Fenix Mariupol 12 6 3 3 18:13 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)