Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progres Niedercorn vs APM Metz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

APM Metz in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored APM Metz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Progres Niedercorn
15%
Draws
34%
APM Metz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • APM Metz haven't matched Progres Niedercorn's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Progres Niedercorn a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%
APM Metz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progres Niedercorn APM Metz
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 9 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Progres Niedercorn vs APM Metz
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
APM Metz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progres Niedercorn APM Metz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: APM Metz conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Progres Niedercorn found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Progres Niedercorn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progres Niedercorn VS APM Metz
1.5 Goals Scored 5
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Progres Niedercorn

(Home)
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1
UNA Strassen
16 Aug
Bissen
0 : 4
Progres Niedercorn
09 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
Page 1 of 6

APM Metz

(Away)
22 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 5
APM Metz
29 Nov
APM Metz
0 : 2
Feignies-Aulnoye
15 Nov
APM Metz
3 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
18 Nov
Sarre Union
1 : 0
APM Metz
12 Nov
Roye
2 : 1
APM Metz
Page 1 of 2