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Progres Niedercorn vs FC Rodange 91

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Baradji I. In: Corral K.
Out: Baradji I.
60'
Sub
Duarte C. In: Natami O.
Out: Duarte C.
60'
Sub
Hoxha F. In: Peugnet V.
Out: Hoxha F.

AI Match Summary

Progres Niedercorn in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progres Niedercorn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Progres Niedercorn
44%
Draws
20%
FC Rodange 91
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Progres Niedercorn average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Rodange 91's 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 16%
FC Rodange 91 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progres Niedercorn FC Rodange 91
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs FC Rodange 91
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 BGL Ligue
FC Rodange 91 vs Progres Niedercorn
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 BGL Ligue
FC Rodange 91 vs Progres Niedercorn
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs FC Rodange 91
5:1
Feb 1, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Rodange 91 vs Progres Niedercorn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progres Niedercorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Natami O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Rodange 91 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progres Niedercorn 36 / 100
FC Rodange 91 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progres Niedercorn FC Rodange 91

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

FC Rodange 91 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FC Rodange 91 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progres Niedercorn VS FC Rodange 91
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bissen30205570:2765
2Differdange30198363:2265
3Mondorf30193851:2460
4UNA Strassen30177657:2658
5Dudelange30177659:3858
6Jeunesse Esch3010101035:3440
7Racing Luxembourg301171248:5040
8Kaerjeng301151443:4838
9Hostert301061435:5636
10Victoria Rosport301051533:5035
11Progres Niedercorn30971444:4734
12Hesperange30951631:4632
13Jeunesse Canach30941729:4431
14FC Mamer30851733:5929
15Union Titus Petange30671726:4925
16FC Rodange 9130671728:6525