Sport Picks
Progres Niedercorn vs Mondercange Prediction & H2H Stats
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue 2024/2025 Stade Jos Haupert, Niederkorn 
Match Events
7'
7'
Silva V.
22'
22'
Burban J.
Assist: Corral K.
23'
23'
Loichot M.
AI Match Summary
The BGL Ligue 2024/2025 game between Progres Niedercorn and Mondercange finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progres Niedercorn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mondercange haven't matched Progres Niedercorn's recent run of results.
- Progres Niedercorn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular BGL Ligue 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progres Niedercorn | Mondercange |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Mondercange
7:2
Aug 4, 2024 BGL Ligue
Mondercange vs Progres Niedercorn
0:2
Apr 20, 2024 BGL Ligue
Mondercange vs Progres Niedercorn
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Mondercange
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 BGL Ligue
Mondercange vs Progres Niedercorn
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Progres Niedercorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Burban J.
3 Goals Assists Leader Schmid J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Mondercange Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocha Fonseca Y.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
Mondercange 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progres Niedercorn Mondercange
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mondercange's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Progres Niedercorn scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Recent resilience: Progres Niedercorn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Progres Niedercorn VS Mondercange
1 Goals Scored 4
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Progres Niedercorn
(Home) 20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1 UNA Strassen
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 1 Virton
Page 1 of 4
Mondercange
(Away) 20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4 Mondercange
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3 Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6 FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4 Mondercange
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
13 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
6 : 0 Mondercange
25 May
Progres Niedercorn
7 : 2 Mondercange
11 May
Dudelange
2 : 3 Mondercange
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Differdange | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 69:7 | 78 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 62:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Dudelange | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 67:34 | 57 |
| 4 | Racing Luxembourg | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:22 | 57 |
| 5 | Progres Niedercorn | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54:30 | 55 |
| 6 | Hesperange | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 56:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Mondorf | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 53:39 | 53 |
| 8 | Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | 42 |
| 9 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41:32 | 41 |
| 10 | Hostert | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 50:69 | 38 |
| 11 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 29:45 | 34 |
| 12 | FC Rodange 91 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 40:62 | 29 |
| 13 | Wiltz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 37:61 | 29 |
| 14 | Bettembourg | 30 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 29:59 | 23 |
| 15 | Fola | 30 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 18:78 | 13 |
| 16 | Mondercange | 30 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 21:74 | 12 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2024/2025 (Relegation)
