Sport Picks
Progres Niedercorn vs Rumelange - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue 
Match Events
20'
20'
Costa J.
82'
82'
Baradji I.
Assist: Hadji S.
90'
90'
Baradji I.
Assist: Thill M.
AI Match Summary
The BGL Ligue game between Progres Niedercorn and Rumelange finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progres Niedercorn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progres Niedercorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Progres Niedercorn carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Progres Niedercorn's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Progres Niedercorn here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 19%
Rumelange Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progres Niedercorn | Rumelange |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.51 | 2.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Rumelange
3:0
Nov 10, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
Rumelange vs Progres Niedercorn
1:3
Apr 12, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Rumelange vs Progres Niedercorn
1:3
May 19, 2019 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Rumelange
3:0
Aug 5, 2018 BGL Ligue
Rumelange vs Progres Niedercorn
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Progres Niedercorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Baradji I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Costa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34
Rumelange Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progres Niedercorn 85 / 100
Rumelange 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progres Niedercorn Rumelange
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rumelange has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Progres Niedercorn scored in 77% of their last 35 games.
Solid form: Progres Niedercorn remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Progres Niedercorn VS Rumelange
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Progres Niedercorn
(Home) 17 Oct
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 2 Kaerjeng
11 Oct
Hostert
0 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7
17 Oct
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 2 Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1 UNA Strassen
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
Page 1 of 4
Rumelange
(Away) 18 Oct
FC Residence Walferdange
3 : 3 Rumelange
11 Oct
Rumelange
1 : 2 Mondorf
20 Sept
Pratzerthal/Redange
1 : 9 Rumelange
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0 Rumelange
13 Sept
Rumelange
0 : 6 Bissen
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
FC Residence Walferdange
3 : 3 Rumelange
20 Sept
Pratzerthal/Redange
1 : 9 Rumelange
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0 Rumelange
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
23 Aug
Dudelange
3 : 2 Rumelange
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Differdange | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Kaerjeng | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29:17 | 21 |
| 5 | Racing Luxembourg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Bissen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progres Niedercorn | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Residence Walferdange | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:19 | 16 |
| 9 | Dudelange | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Hostert | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Jeunesse Esch | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 13 | Rumelange | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:28 | 7 |
| 14 | Ettelbruck | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15:28 | 4 |
| 16 | Hesperange | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2:38 | -12 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)
