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Progres Niedercorn vs UNA Strassen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Delorge K.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue game between Progres Niedercorn and UNA Strassen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNA Strassen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Progres Niedercorn
20%
Draws
45%
UNA Strassen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNA Strassen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNA Strassen come out ahead of Progres Niedercorn on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 15%
UNA Strassen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progres Niedercorn UNA Strassen
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs UNA Strassen
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Progres Niedercorn
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs UNA Strassen
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs UNA Strassen
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Progres Niedercorn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progres Niedercorn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UNA Strassen Compare

Top Goalscorer Delorge K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progres Niedercorn 31 / 100
UNA Strassen 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progres Niedercorn UNA Strassen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Strassen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Recent resilience: Progres Niedercorn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

UNA Strassen let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Progres Niedercorn VS UNA Strassen
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Progres Niedercorn

(Home)
17 Oct
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 2
Kaerjeng
11 Oct
Hostert
0 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

UNA Strassen

(Away)
18 Oct
UNA Strassen
1 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
11 Oct
Wiltz
0 : 2
UNA Strassen
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0
Rumelange
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 10 9 1 0 20:3 28
2 Differdange 10 9 0 1 30:8 27
3 Mondorf 10 8 0 2 22:13 24
4 Kaerjeng 10 7 0 3 29:17 21
5 Racing Luxembourg 10 5 4 1 24:11 19
6 Bissen 10 6 1 3 25:14 19
7 Progres Niedercorn 10 6 1 3 16:7 19
8 FC Residence Walferdange 10 5 1 4 19:19 16
9 Dudelange 10 4 1 5 16:16 13
10 Hostert 10 3 2 5 15:18 11
11 Jeunesse Esch 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
12 Victoria Rosport 10 2 2 6 17:25 8
13 Rumelange 10 2 1 7 12:28 7
14 Ettelbruck 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
15 Wiltz 10 1 1 8 15:28 4
16 Hesperange 10 0 0 10 2:38 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)