Sport Picks
Progres Niedercorn vs Victoria Rosport Prediction & H2H Stats
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
21'
21'
Duarte C.
Assist: Vion T.
60'
60'
Corral K.
(Penalty)
87'
87'
Marques K.
AI Match Summary
Victoria Rosport in this Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Progres Niedercorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Progres Niedercorn lately — more wins on the board than Victoria Rosport.
- Model gives Progres Niedercorn a 47% chance of winning this.
- Progres Niedercorn have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Victoria Rosport, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Rosport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progres Niedercorn | Victoria Rosport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Progres Niedercorn vs Victoria Rosport
2:3
Feb 22, 2026 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niedercorn
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Victoria Rosport
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niedercorn
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Victoria Rosport
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Progres Niedercorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Duarte C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Victoria Rosport Compare
Top Goalscorer Marques K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferreira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progres Niedercorn 85 / 100
Victoria Rosport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progres Niedercorn Victoria Rosport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Victoria Rosport has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Attacking prowess: Progres Niedercorn scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Progres Niedercorn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Progres Niedercorn VS Victoria Rosport
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Progres Niedercorn
(Home) 20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 8
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1 UNA Strassen
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 1 Virton
Page 1 of 4
Victoria Rosport
(Away) 20 Sept
CS Sanem
1 : 3 Victoria Rosport
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0 Victoria Rosport
05 Sept
Victoria Rosport
0 : 2 Hostert
30 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
2 : 2 Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
CS Sanem
1 : 3 Victoria Rosport
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0 Victoria Rosport
30 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
2 : 2 Victoria Rosport
16 Aug
Rumelange
3 : 2 Victoria Rosport
04 Aug
UNA Strassen
4 : 0 Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1
