Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Cernica vs Afumati

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afumati in this Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afumati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Progresul Cernica
20%
Draws
80%
Afumati
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afumati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Progresul Cernica haven't matched Afumati's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Afumati a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Afumati have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Progresul Cernica Clean Sheet 20%
Afumati Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Cernica Afumati
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 6 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.84 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Progresul Cernica vs Afumati
0:3
Oct 18, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Afumati vs Progresul Cernica
1:1
Mar 29, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Cernica vs Afumati
1:2
Sep 21, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Afumati vs Progresul Cernica
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Cernica 10 / 100
Afumati 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Cernica Afumati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afumati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afumati let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Progresul Cernica scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afumati
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Cernica

(Home)
16 Jul
Viitorul Buzau
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
11 Apr
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Axintele
04 Apr
Voluntari
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
28 Mar
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Afumati
22 Mar
Rapid Fetesti
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
Page 1 of 7

Afumati

(Away)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Afumati
2 : 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
29 Aug
Afumati
2 : 1
Unirea Slobozia
23 Aug
Selimbar
1 : 1
Afumati
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berceni 24 18 3 3 52:22 57
2 FC Caracal 24 12 6 6 32:20 42
3 Balotesti 24 12 5 7 37:23 41
4 Inter Clinceni 24 10 5 9 27:34 35
5 Stefanesti 24 12 5 7 37:26 32
6 Progresul Cernica 24 10 2 12 33:37 32
7 Voluntari 24 7 10 7 30:25 31
8 Afumati 24 10 8 6 50:28 29
9 Visina Noua 24 8 9 7 35:27 24
10 Viitorul Domnesti 24 10 2 12 27:38 23
11 CSM Alexandria 24 4 6 14 26:43 18
12 Concordia 2 24 2 6 16 18:57 12
13 Tunari 24 5 5 14 31:55 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 2013/2014 (Main)