Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Corabia vs Muscelul Muscel

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Corabia in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Corabia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Progresul Corabia
15%
Draws
47%
Muscelul Muscel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muscelul Muscel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Progresul Corabia haven't matched Muscelul Muscel's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Muscelul Muscel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Progresul Corabia Clean Sheet 19%
Muscelul Muscel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Corabia Muscelul Muscel
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Corabia vs Muscelul Muscel
2:1
Aug 22, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Muscelul Muscel vs Progresul Corabia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Corabia 10 / 100
Muscelul Muscel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Corabia Muscelul Muscel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muscelul Muscel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Corabia scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Muscelul Muscel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Progresul Corabia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Muscelul Muscel
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Corabia

(Home)
11 Jun
Albota
3 : 0
Progresul Corabia
05 Jun
Progresul Corabia
4 : 1
Triumf Barca
28 May
Oltchim Ramnicu
0 : 1
Progresul Corabia
21 May
Progresul Corabia
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
14 May
Campionii Arges 2
1 : 3
Progresul Corabia
Page 1 of 8

Muscelul Muscel

(Away)
15 May
Muscelul Muscel
5 : 0
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
08 May
Inter Sibiu
2 : 3
Muscelul Muscel
02 May
Muscelul Muscel
4 : 2
Pausesti-Otasau
24 Apr
ACS Medias
1 : 3
Muscelul Muscel
18 Apr
Muscelul Muscel
5 : 0
Viitorul Daesti
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS Turnu Severin 32 23 5 4 63:24 74
2 FC Caracal 32 19 8 5 55:24 65
3 Adunatii-Copaceni 32 19 6 7 61:31 63
4 Muscelul Muscel 32 16 7 9 61:36 55
5 Viitorul Pucioasa 32 15 8 9 49:41 53
6 Oltchim Ramnicu 32 15 6 11 44:34 51
7 Minerul Motru 32 14 7 11 55:49 49
8 Olt Slatina 32 13 6 13 36:41 45
9 Armata Craiova 32 12 6 14 35:39 42
10 Jiul Rovinari 32 11 9 12 32:35 42
11 Matasari 32 11 7 14 33:40 40
12 Prometeu Craiova 32 11 5 16 37:41 38
13 Campionii Arges 2 32 11 5 16 41:46 38
14 Energia Rovinari 32 9 7 16 37:54 34
15 Progresul Corabia 32 10 3 19 37:53 33
16 Petrom Chimia Craiova 32 9 4 19 28:46 31
17 Bals 32 3 3 26 19:89 12
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)