Sport Picks
Progresul Fundulea vs Popesti Leordeni
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 game between Progresul Fundulea and Popesti Leordeni finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Popesti Leordeni.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Popesti Leordeni
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Progresul Fundulea haven't matched Popesti Leordeni's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Progresul Fundulea taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Popesti Leordeni have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 12%
Popesti Leordeni Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Popesti Leordeni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Popesti Leordeni
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Popesti Leordeni vs Progresul Fundulea
2:0
Aug 6, 2025 Romanian Cup
Progresul Fundulea vs Popesti Leordeni
2:3
May 3, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Popesti Leordeni vs Progresul Fundulea
4:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Popesti Leordeni
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progresul Fundulea 35 / 100
Popesti Leordeni 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progresul Fundulea Popesti Leordeni
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Progresul Fundulea scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Popesti Leordeni conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Progresul Fundulea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Progresul Fundulea VS Popesti Leordeni
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Progresul Fundulea
(Home) 26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1 Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0 Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Unirea Branistea
4 : 2 Progresul Fundulea
12 Sept
Agricola Borcea
4 : 2 Progresul Fundulea
05 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1 Otelul 2
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0 Axiopolis Cernavoda
05 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1 Otelul 2
09 May
Progresul Fundulea
3 : 1 Axiopolis Cernavoda
25 Apr
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1 Gloria Baneasa
18 Apr
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0 Voluntari 2
Page 1 of 3
Popesti Leordeni
(Away) 26 Sept
Farul Constanta
2 : 1 Popesti Leordeni
19 Sept
Popesti Leordeni
3 : 4 Politehnica Timisoara
12 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
2 : 3 Popesti Leordeni
05 Sept
Popesti Leordeni
3 : 2 FC Bihor
29 Aug
Cetatea Suceava
1 : 1 Popesti Leordeni
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Farul Constanta
2 : 1 Popesti Leordeni
12 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
2 : 3 Popesti Leordeni
29 Aug
Cetatea Suceava
1 : 1 Popesti Leordeni
15 Aug
CSC Dumbravita
1 : 1 Popesti Leordeni
01 Aug
Ramnicu Valcea
1 : 1 Popesti Leordeni
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 51:27 | 48 |
| 2 | Popesti Leordeni | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 47:17 | 45 |
| 3 | Inainte Modelu | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 51:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Calarasi | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:30 | 40 |
| 5 | FCSB 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 52:33 | 39 |
| 6 | Progresul Fundulea | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 38:30 | 31 |
| 7 | Gloria Baneasa | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 44:47 | 29 |
| 8 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 33:44 | 27 |
| 9 | Axiopolis Cernavoda | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 31:44 | 23 |
| 10 | Agigea | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 26:52 | 23 |
| 11 | Din. Bucuresti 2 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 32:52 | 19 |
| 12 | Voluntari 2 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 26:66 | 12 |
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
