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Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Fundulea host Portul Constanta in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Progresul Fundulea at 2.28 goals for, 1.48 against; Portul Constanta at 1.46 for, 1.86 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.25 - 1.44) back Progresul Fundulea to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Progresul Fundulea
15%
Draws
0%
Portul Constanta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Fundulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Progresul Fundulea have won more games recently than Portul Constanta.
  • Progresul Fundulea are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 16%
Portul Constanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Fundulea Portul Constanta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.28 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Fundulea 75 / 100
Portul Constanta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Fundulea Portul Constanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Fundulea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Progresul Fundulea scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Portul Constanta registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Portul Constanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Progresul Fundulea stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Fundulea VS Portul Constanta
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Fundulea

(Home)
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Unirea Branistea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
12 Sept
Agricola Borcea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
Page 1 of 6

Portul Constanta

(Away)
02 Oct
Otelul 2
2 : 1
Portul Constanta
26 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 2
Calarasi
23 Sept
Inainte Modelu
4 : 3
Portul Constanta
19 Sept
Portul Constanta
0 : 1
Agigea
12 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 3
Unirea Branistea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)