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Progresul Mogosoaia vs Inter Ilfov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Mogosoaia in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Mogosoaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Progresul Mogosoaia
30%
Draws
39%
Inter Ilfov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Ilfov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Ilfov average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Progresul Mogosoaia's 1.52.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Inter Ilfov taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Ilfov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Mogosoaia Inter Ilfov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Inter Ilfov
2:1
Jul 29, 2026 Romanian Cup
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Inter Ilfov
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Mogosoaia 10 / 100
Inter Ilfov 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Mogosoaia Inter Ilfov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Ilfov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Mogosoaia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Inter Ilfov let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Progresul Mogosoaia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Mogosoaia VS Inter Ilfov
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Mogosoaia

(Home)
24 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
4 : 2
Oxigen Bucuresti
16 Oct
FCSB 2
5 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
10 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
2 : 1
Inter Ilfov
03 Oct
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 1
Progresul Mogosoaia
26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Page 1 of 6

Inter Ilfov

(Away)
23 Oct
CSM Alexandria
0 : 3
Inter Ilfov
16 Oct
Inter Ilfov
3 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
10 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
2 : 1
Inter Ilfov
02 Oct
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
2 : 2
Inter Ilfov
25 Sept
Inter Ilfov
5 : 1
Din. Bucuresti 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omega Sport 10 7 3 0 14:6 24
2 Inter Ilfov 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
3 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 10 5 5 0 22:12 20
4 CSM Alexandria 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 10 4 3 3 17:19 15
6 Din. Bucuresti 2 10 4 0 6 10:15 12
7 Adunatii-Copaceni 10 4 0 6 7:17 12
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 10 2 5 3 20:14 11
9 FCSB 2 10 3 1 6 20:26 10
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Voluntari 2 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
12 Progresul Spartac 10 2 1 7 10:13 7
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)