Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Progresul Pecica
20%
Draws
36%
Metalurgistul Cugir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Pecica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Progresul Pecica have won more games recently than Metalurgistul Cugir.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Progresul Pecica Clean Sheet 10%
Metalurgistul Cugir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Pecica Metalurgistul Cugir
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir
3:3
Oct 31, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Pecica 29 / 100
Metalurgistul Cugir 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Pecica Metalurgistul Cugir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Pecica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Progresul Pecica's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Metalurgistul Cugir has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Progresul Pecica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Pecica VS Metalurgistul Cugir
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Pecica

(Home)
26 Sept
Unirea Santana
4 : 1
Progresul Pecica
22 Sept
Progresul Pecica
6 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
18 Sept
Timisul Sag
3 : 0
Progresul Pecica
11 Sept
CSM Deva
3 : 1
Progresul Pecica
04 Sept
Progresul Pecica
5 : 2
Politehnica Timisoara II
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Metalurgistul Cugir

(Away)
26 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
1 : 3
Viitorul Arad
23 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
18 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
2 : 2
Unirea Alba-Iulia
11 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
0 : 1
Timisul Sag
04 Sept
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
3 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unirea Alba-Iulia 22 18 2 2 73:12 56
2 Politehnica Timisoara 22 16 4 2 54:11 52
3 Metalurgistul Cugir 22 12 4 6 44:26 40
4 Viitorul Arad 22 13 1 8 37:23 40
5 Unirea Santana 22 11 4 7 28:28 37
6 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 22 11 3 8 33:29 36
7 Progresul Pecica 22 9 4 9 33:36 31
8 Blaj 22 9 1 12 28:35 28
9 Univ. Alba Iulia 22 8 1 13 33:41 25
10 Timisul Sag 22 6 3 13 31:45 21
11 ACS Unirea DMO 22 4 2 16 18:48 14
12 Hidro Mecanica Sugag 22 0 1 21 10:88 1
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)