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Progresul Spartac vs Academica Bals

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 Stadionul Progresul Spartac, Bucharest
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 game between Progresul Spartac and Academica Bals finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica Bals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Progresul Spartac
6%
Draws
4%
Academica Bals
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica Bals carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Progresul Spartac are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 16%
Academica Bals Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Academica Bals
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Academica Bals
0:1
Sep 19, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Academica Bals vs Progresul Spartac
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 84 / 100
Academica Bals 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Academica Bals

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Academica Bals has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Progresul Spartac stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Academica Bals
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
15 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
0 : 8
Progresul Spartac
09 May
Progresul Spartac
4 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
25 Apr
Curtisoara
2 : 1
Progresul Spartac
18 Apr
Progresul Spartac
2 : 3
CSM Alexandria
10 Apr
Nanov
0 : 2
Progresul Spartac
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Academica Bals

(Away)
22 May
Academica Bals
2 : 0
Jiul Petrosani
15 May
Ramnicu Valcea
3 : 0
Academica Bals
08 May
Academica Bals
0 : 1
Minerul Lupeni
01 May
Farcasesti
2 : 1
Academica Bals
25 Apr
Jiul Petrosani
1 : 2
Academica Bals
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CS U Craiova 220154137:1649
2Cetatea Turnu Magurele20127141:1943
3Academica Bals20125335:1841
4LPS HD Clinceni20123544:1939
5CSM Alexandria20106435:1936
6Curtisoara2084828:3128
7Progresul Spartac20821033:3326
8SCM Dunarea Giurgiu20521319:3817
9Adunatii-Copaceni20411516:3613
10CSO Filiasi20321515:4211
11Nanov20221613:458
12FC U Craiova00000:0-106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)