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Progresul Spartac vs CSO Filiasi

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 Stadionul Progresul Spartac, Bucharest
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between Progresul Spartac and CSO Filiasi finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progresul Spartac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Progresul Spartac
20%
Draws
80%
CSO Filiasi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSO Filiasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CSO Filiasi haven't matched Progresul Spartac's recent run of results.
  • CSO Filiasi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Progresul Spartac have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%
CSO Filiasi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac CSO Filiasi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.04 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSO Filiasi
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSO Filiasi
6:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSO Filiasi vs Progresul Spartac
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 22 / 100
CSO Filiasi 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac CSO Filiasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSO Filiasi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSO Filiasi let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Progresul Spartac found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Away concern: CSO Filiasi has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS CSO Filiasi
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

CSO Filiasi

(Away)
25 Sept
CSO Filiasi
1 : 1
Pausesti-Otasau
22 Sept
CSO Filiasi
2 : 2
CS U Craiova 2
19 Sept
Curtisoara
1 : 3
CSO Filiasi
11 Sept
CSO Filiasi
4 : 2
Farcasesti
04 Sept
CSM Targu Jiu
3 : 1
CSO Filiasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)