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Progresul Spartac vs FC U Craiova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 Stadionul Progresul Spartac, Bucharest
Sat, Mar 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Spartac host FC U Craiova in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FC U Craiova have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Progresul Spartac have conceded 1.57 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor Progresul Spartac slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (4.00 - 1.06) back Progresul Spartac to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
21%
FC U Craiova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Spartac lately — more wins on the board than FC U Craiova.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Spartac's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 20%
FC U Craiova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac FC U Craiova
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 14 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 2.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs FC U Craiova
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
FC U Craiova vs Progresul Spartac
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 49 / 100
FC U Craiova 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac FC U Craiova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC U Craiova has conceded goals in 80% of their last 10 outings.

Progresul Spartac's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC U Craiova's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS FC U Craiova
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
02 Oct
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 1
Progresul Spartac
26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
FCSB 2
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
Page 1 of 6

FC U Craiova

(Away)
29 Jul
FC U Craiova
0 : 5
CSO Filiasi
06 Sept
FC U Craiova
0 : 6
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
30 Aug
FC U Craiova
0 : 0
Academica Bals
06 Aug
Farcasesti
3 : 2
FC U Craiova
10 May
CSC Dumbravita
3 : 0
FC U Craiova
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)