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Progresul Spartac vs FCSB 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
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AI Match Summary

Progresul Spartac in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Spartac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
42%
FCSB 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FCSB 2 at 2.14 per game, Progresul Spartac at 2.07.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 19%
FCSB 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac FCSB 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2.07 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs FCSB 2
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Spartac vs FCSB 2
2:1
Sep 24, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FCSB 2 vs Progresul Spartac
1:1
Apr 30, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Spartac vs FCSB 2
4:0
Nov 6, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FCSB 2 vs Progresul Spartac
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 31 / 100
FCSB 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac FCSB 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FCSB 2 conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Progresul Spartac found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: FCSB 2 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS FCSB 2
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
02 Oct
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 1
Progresul Spartac
26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
FCSB 2
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
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FCSB 2

(Away)
02 Oct
FCSB 2
1 : 2
Omega Sport
26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
FCSB 2
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
Oxigen Bucuresti
1 : 2
FCSB 2
11 Sept
FCSB 2
2 : 4
LPS HD Clinceni
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omega Sport 8 6 2 0 11:5 20
2 CSM Alexandria 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
3 LPS HD Clinceni 8 4 2 2 19:13 14
4 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 8 3 5 0 14:9 14
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 8 3 3 2 11:12 12
6 Adunatii-Copaceni 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
7 Oxigen Bucuresti 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 8 2 3 3 19:13 9
9 Din. Bucuresti 2 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
10 Voluntari 2 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
11 Progresul Spartac 8 2 0 6 10:11 6
12 FCSB 2 8 1 1 6 9:24 4
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)