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Prospect United vs Macarthur Rams

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Beltran-Woodward O.
77' Event
Beltran-Woodward O.
90' Event
Bajada L.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Prospect United and Macarthur Rams finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Prospect United
15%
Draws
34%
Macarthur Rams
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prospect United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macarthur Rams come out ahead of Prospect United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Prospect United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Prospect United Clean Sheet 17%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prospect United Macarthur Rams
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 14 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.16 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 NSW League One
Prospect United vs Macarthur Rams
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Prospect United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prospect United Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajada L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltran-Woodward O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prospect United 48 / 100
Macarthur Rams 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prospect United Macarthur Rams

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prospect United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prospect United scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Macarthur Rams let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Prospect United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prospect United VS Macarthur Rams
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Prospect United

(Home)
11 Sept
Prospect United
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
04 Sept
Parramatta Eagles
4 : 1
Prospect United
28 Aug
Prospect United
3 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
22 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
5 : 1
Prospect United
15 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
0 : 3
Prospect United
Page 1 of 7

Macarthur Rams

(Away)
29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)