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Prospect United vs Macarthur Rams

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Prospect United host Macarthur Rams in the NSW League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Macarthur Rams have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Prospect United have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Macarthur Rams slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Macarthur Rams. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Prospect United
40%
Draws
29%
Macarthur Rams
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macarthur Rams come out ahead of Prospect United on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Prospect United Clean Sheet 18%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prospect United Macarthur Rams
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Prospect United
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prospect United 32 / 100
Macarthur Rams 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prospect United Macarthur Rams

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prospect United scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Macarthur Rams let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Prospect United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prospect United VS Macarthur Rams
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans23155358:3050
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Canterbury Bankstown FC23125656:3741
4Bankstown City Lions FC23124740:3740
5Macarthur Rams23116630:2439
6Rydalmere Lions2397733:3434
7Bulls Academy231031044:3433
8Hills United2396840:3833
9Hakoah Sydney2379740:3830
10Hurstville Zagreb23761034:3827
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions23741229:4225
13Newcastle Jets U2323581043:5223
14Dulwich Hill23581026:4423
15Prospect United23212922:4118
16Western City Rangers23441526:4616