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Prospect United vs Northern Tigers

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Spang J.
42' Event
Spang J.
87' Event
Rose C.

AI Match Summary

Northern Tigers in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Tigers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Prospect United
20%
Draws
38%
Northern Tigers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prospect United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Northern Tigers lately — more wins on the board than Prospect United.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Prospect United Clean Sheet 11%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prospect United Northern Tigers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 13 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 NSW League One
Prospect United vs Northern Tigers
0:3
Feb 14, 2026 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Prospect United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Prospect United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Northern Tigers Compare

Top Goalscorer Spang J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rose C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prospect United 35 / 100
Northern Tigers 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prospect United Northern Tigers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Tigers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prospect United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Northern Tigers has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Prospect United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Prospect United VS Northern Tigers
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Prospect United

(Home)
11 Sept
Prospect United
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
04 Sept
Parramatta Eagles
4 : 1
Prospect United
28 Aug
Prospect United
3 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
22 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
5 : 1
Prospect United
15 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
0 : 3
Prospect United
Page 1 of 6

Northern Tigers

(Away)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3
Northern Tigers
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1
Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)