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Provadia vs Preslav

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2012/2013
Provadia Logo

Provadia

1 - 1
FT
Preslav Logo

Preslav

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2012/2013 game between Provadia and Preslav finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Provadia
15%
Draws
0%
Preslav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Provadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Provadia come out ahead of Preslav on wins alone.
  • Model gives Provadia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Provadia Clean Sheet 10%
Preslav Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Preslav
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 26 27
Goals Scored 1.15 0.6
Goals Conceded 3.38 6.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Provadia
1:4
Oct 13, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Preslav
2:1
Mar 23, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Preslav
1:1
Sep 9, 2012 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Provadia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 83 / 100
Preslav 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Preslav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Provadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Preslav conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Preslav lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Provadia scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Provadia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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Preslav

(Away)
31 May
Preslav
0 : 6
Suvorovo
23 May
Kubrat
14 : 0
Preslav
18 May
Preslav
0 : 8
Belitsa
14 May
Chernomorets Balchik
9 : 2
Preslav
11 May
Preslav
0 : 4
Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 28 25 3 0 82:8 78
2 Dunav Ruse 28 24 2 2 86:15 74
3 Belitsa 28 16 3 9 57:32 51
4 Kubrat 28 14 8 6 38:19 50
5 Suvorovo 28 15 5 8 48:35 50
6 Septemvri Tervel 28 12 6 10 39:33 42
7 Chernomorets Balchik 28 11 8 9 37:31 41
8 Benkovski Byala 28 11 6 11 37:46 39
9 Dve Mogili 28 11 2 15 33:58 35
10 Silistra 2009 28 9 6 13 32:31 33
11 Chernomorets Byala 28 8 7 13 28:36 31
12 Preslav 28 6 6 16 37:76 24
13 Provadia 28 6 2 20 24:57 20
14 Ariston Ruse 27 4 5 18 22:52 17
15 Himik Devnya 27 2 1 24 5:76 7
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)