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Provadia vs Shumen 2010

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2013/2014 game between Provadia and Shumen 2010 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shumen 2010.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Provadia
15%
Draws
0%
Shumen 2010
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Provadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Provadia come out ahead of Shumen 2010 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Provadia Clean Sheet 10%
Shumen 2010 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Shumen 2010
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 1 0
Losses 27 26
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.28 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2014 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2010 vs Provadia
1:2
Nov 3, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Shumen 2010
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 29 / 100
Shumen 2010 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Shumen 2010

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Provadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shumen 2010 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Shumen 2010 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Provadia scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Provadia VS Shumen 2010
1.38 Goals Scored 2
3.25 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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Shumen 2010

(Away)
30 Jan
Dunav Ruse
4 : 2
Shumen 2010
31 May
Shumen 2010
0 : 3
Chernomorets Balchik
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1
Shumen 2010
18 May
FK Ticha
3 : 0
Shumen 2010
14 May
Shumen 2010
1 : 2
Provadia
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