Sport Picks

Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Diaguita

Provincial Ovalle

2 - 1

Atletico Colina

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Cortes B.

19'

Colossi M.

41'

Colossi M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Provincial Ovalle in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Provincial Ovalle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Provincial Ovalle

40%

Draws

29%

Atletico Colina

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Provincial Ovalle have won more games recently than Atletico Colina.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Provincial Ovalle Clean Sheet 14%

Atletico Colina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Provincial Ovalle	Atletico Colina
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	0.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Segunda Division

Provincial Ovalle vs Atletico Colina

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

May 2, 2026 Segunda Division

Atletico Colina vs Provincial Ovalle

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Provincial Ovalle Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Araya B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Atletico Colina Compare

Top Goalscorer Colossi M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provincial Ovalle 31 / 100

Atletico Colina 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Provincial Ovalle Atletico Colina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Colina has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Atletico Colina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Provincial Ovalle found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Provincial Ovalle VS Atletico Colina

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

2.38 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brujas Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	22
2	Concon National	12	6	3	3	16:10	21
3	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	20
4	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	18
5	Real San Joaquin	12	3	4	5	16:17	13
6	Atletico Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	12
7	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	24
2	Colchagua CD	12	6	4	2	15:11	22
3	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	19
4	General Velasquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	16
5	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	13
6	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	11
7	S. Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	10