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Provincial vs Defensores de Glew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Provincial and Defensores de Glew finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Glew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Provincial
20%
Draws
80%
Defensores de Glew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Defensores de Glew carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Defensores de Glew a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provincial Defensores de Glew
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.87 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Defensores de Glew
0:4
Jun 27, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Provincial
4:2
Sep 8, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Provincial
2:2
Apr 13, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Defensores de Glew
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provincial 10 / 100
Defensores de Glew 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provincial Defensores de Glew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Glew Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Provincial found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensores de Glew's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Provincial VS Defensores de Glew
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Provincial

(Home)
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1
Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4
Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0
Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
Page 1 of 6

Defensores de Glew

(Away)
04 Oct
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Uribelarrea
30 Sept
Uribelarrea
0 : 1
Defensores de Glew
19 Sept
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Buenos Aires City
14 Sept
Buenos Aires City
0 : 3
Defensores de Glew
07 Sept
Defensores de Glew
3 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)