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Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juventud de Bernal in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud de Bernal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Provincial
20%
Draws
80%
Juventud de Bernal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud de Bernal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Provincial have won more games recently than Juventud de Bernal.
  • Win probability leans Juventud de Bernal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Provincial Clean Sheet 14%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provincial Juventud de Bernal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.87 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:2
Jul 14, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial
0:4
Sep 8, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial
2:1
Sep 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provincial 10 / 100
Juventud de Bernal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provincial Juventud de Bernal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud de Bernal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud de Bernal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Provincial scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Juventud de Bernal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Provincial VS Juventud de Bernal
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Provincial

(Home)
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1
Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4
Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0
Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
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Juventud de Bernal

(Away)
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
01 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2
Estrella de Berisso
22 Aug
Deportivo Metalurgico
7 : 0
Juventud de Bernal
19 Aug
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 3
Social Atletico Television
11 Aug
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2
Atletico Pilar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)