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Prva Iskra vs Zvezdara Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zvezdara in this Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zvezdara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Prva Iskra
15%
Draws
28%
Zvezdara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prva Iskra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Prva Iskra haven't matched Zvezdara's recent run of results.
  • Prva Iskra are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Prva Iskra Clean Sheet 16%
Zvezdara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Prva Iskra Zvezdara
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Zvezdara
0:2
May 16, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Prva Iskra
0:3
Nov 1, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Zvezdara
1:3
May 4, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Prva Iskra
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Zvezdara
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Prva Iskra 66 / 100
Zvezdara 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Prva Iskra Zvezdara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prva Iskra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Zvezdara conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Zvezdara lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Prva Iskra scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Prva Iskra VS Zvezdara
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Prva Iskra

(Home)
03 Oct
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Bezanija
25 Sept
BASK
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
18 Sept
Brodarac
1 : 0
Prva Iskra
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Bacevac
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
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Zvezdara

(Away)
03 Oct
Zvezdara
0 : 2
Radnicki Obrenovac
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)