Sport Picks
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) vs Fenix Mariupol
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 MCS Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk 
Match Events
1'
1'
Khoma A.
14'
14'
Mykhalchuk P.
46'
46'
Sub
Kovalyuk R. In: Buryak R.
Out: Kovalyuk R.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) and Fenix Mariupol finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998).
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fenix Mariupol come out ahead of Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) on wins alone.
- Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) Clean Sheet 20%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 23, 2025 Persha Liga
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) vs Fenix Mariupol
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0:2
May 3, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
2:3
Mar 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) vs Fenix Mariupol
0:0
May 4, 2024 Persha Liga
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) vs Fenix Mariupol
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) Compare
Top Goalscorer Khoma A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Trofymyuk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Fenix Mariupol Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 42 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) Fenix Mariupol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Fenix Mariupol conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) VS Fenix Mariupol
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
(Home) 26 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
01 Jun
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
23 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
16 May
Inhulets
0 : 0 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
25 Apr
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 2 UCSA
11 Apr
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
03 Apr
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 3
Fenix Mariupol
(Away) 24 Jul
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 1 Victoria
02 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
27 Jun
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0 Victoria
23 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 0 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
27 Jun
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
23 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 0 Fenix Mariupol
09 May
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
25 Apr
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
