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PS Barito Putera vs Balikpapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Demang Lehman Stadium, Martapura
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
2 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Anwar E. In: Mukhram A.
Out: Anwar E.
65'
Sub
Amru J. In: Artomoro C.
Out: Amru J.
66'
Alves R.

AI Match Summary

PS Barito Putera host Balikpapan in the Championship. This has PS Barito Putera written all over it on paper. PS Barito Putera have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Balikpapan's 0.72 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor PS Barito Putera slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (2.25 - 1.44) back PS Barito Putera to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
PS Barito Putera
15%
Draws
26%
Balikpapan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PS Barito Putera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PS Barito Putera lately — more wins on the board than Balikpapan.
  • Model gives PS Barito Putera a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
PS Barito Putera Clean Sheet 16%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PS Barito Putera Balikpapan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.59 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Championship
PS Barito Putera vs Balikpapan
3:3
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs PS Barito Putera
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Championship
PS Barito Putera vs Balikpapan
3:0
Oct 20, 2017 Super League
Balikpapan vs PS Barito Putera
2:3
Jul 9, 2017 Super League
PS Barito Putera vs Balikpapan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PS Barito Putera Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Balikpapan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PS Barito Putera 84 / 100
Balikpapan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PS Barito Putera Balikpapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Barito Putera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikpapan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

PS Barito Putera found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

PS Barito Putera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PS Barito Putera VS Balikpapan
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PS Barito Putera

(Home)
04 Oct
PS Barito Putera
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
26 Sept
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 2
PS Barito Putera
20 Sept
Deltras Sidoarjo
3 : 2
PS Barito Putera
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2
Persipura Jayapura
03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3
Persipal BU
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Balikpapan

(Away)
04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0
Balikpapan
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2
Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
2 PSIS Semarang 5 3 1 1 8:5 9
3 Persikad Depok 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
4 PSPS Riau 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
5 Semen Padang 4 2 1 1 4:2 6
6 PSGC Ciamis 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
7 Sumsel United 5 2 1 2 10:8 6
8 Bekasi City 5 1 1 3 6:5 4
9 Persiraja Aceh 5 1 0 4 6:8 2
10 Persiku Kudus 5 0 1 4 3:17 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Persela Lamongan 4 4 0 0 10:0 11
3 RANS Nusantara 5 3 1 1 15:9 10
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 4 2 2 0 5:2 7
5 Persipura Jayapura 5 1 2 2 7:8 4
6 PS Barito Putera 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 Persis Solo 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
8 Dejan 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
9 Balikpapan 4 0 0 4 2:7 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 4 0 0 4 1:23 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)