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PS Kemi vs Mariehamn

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga 2018 Sauvosaaren Urheilupuisto, Kemi
PS Kemi Logo

PS Kemi

2 - 0
FT
Mariehamn Logo

Mariehamn

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Coulibaly H.
26'
Sub
Ekhalie A. In: Maenpaa A.
Out: Ekhalie A.
45' Event
Makela J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga 2018 game between PS Kemi and Mariehamn finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PS Kemi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
PS Kemi
15%
Draws
51%
Mariehamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mariehamn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
PS Kemi Clean Sheet 20%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PS Kemi Mariehamn
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.77 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2018 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs Mariehamn
2:0
Jun 25, 2018 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs PS Kemi
2:1
Apr 29, 2018 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs Mariehamn
2:3
Sep 17, 2017 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs PS Kemi
3:2
Jun 14, 2017 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs Mariehamn
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PS Kemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Makela J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moilanen V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Mariehamn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PS Kemi 32 / 100
Mariehamn 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PS Kemi Mariehamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariehamn has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: PS Kemi scored in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: PS Kemi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mariehamn
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PS Kemi

(Home)
27 Oct
Lahti
1 : 2
PS Kemi
21 Oct
PS Kemi
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Oct
PS Kemi
0 : 2
Inter Turku
29 Sept
Ilves
4 : 0
PS Kemi
22 Sept
PS Kemi
0 : 2
VPS
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Mariehamn

(Away)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK 33 24 6 3 61:19 78
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 33 18 8 7 42:25 62
3 KuPS 33 17 7 9 56:37 58
4 Honka 33 15 13 5 51:33 58
5 Ilves 33 14 7 12 45:41 49
6 VPS 33 10 11 12 37:43 41
7 Inter Turku 33 10 10 13 37:44 40
8 Lahti 33 9 13 11 30:38 40
9 SJK 33 8 8 17 28:37 32
10 Mariehamn 33 8 7 18 37:59 31
11 TPS 33 7 8 18 37:55 29
12 PS Kemi 33 6 6 21 29:59 24
Relegation - Ykkonen 2018 (Promotion)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)